Catastrophe Services

Daily Threats Assessment
Daily Severe Weather Outlook I Wildland Fire Potential I Weekly Hazards Assessment I Precipitation & Flood I Tropical Weather | PLRB Map

Thursday, 05/17/12 @ updated 0800 CDT

Next scheduled update Friday morning, 05/18//12 @ 0830 CDT

Current Threats

Critical Fire Weather forecast in the Southwest Today, Tomorrow and Saturday.

River flooding in Washington State and Montana through Tuesday.

T.S. Aletta churns in the Eastern Pacific. No threat to U.S. interests.

Executive Summary

Perils - Tornadoes, Hail, & High Wind – See chart for details

No areas of organized severe weather are forecast by the Storm Prediction Center.

Peril - Wildland Fire - See chart for details

There is a critical fire weather area forecast for parts of California, Nevada, Utah and Arizona.

Perils - Flooding and Precipitation - See chart for details

River flooding is occurring in parts of Washington State and Montana through Tuesday.

Tropical Depression Aletta churns in the Eastern Pacific Basin. It poses no threat to U.S. interests.

Perils - Tornadoes, Hail, & High Wind – See chart for details
No areas of organized severe weather are forecast by the Storm Prediction Center.

Peril - Wildland Fire - See chart for details

There is a critical fire weather area forecast for Utah, Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico.

Perils - Flooding and Precipitation - See chart for details

River flooding is occurring in parts of Washington State and Montana through Tuesday.

Perils - Tornadoes, Hail, & High Wind – See chart for details
There is an elevated or slight risk for severe weather in parts of Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma, where there is a 15% probability of severe weather.

Peril - Wildland Fire - See chart for details

There is a critical fire weather area forecast for Utah, Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico.

Perils - Flooding and Precipitation - See chart for details

River flooding is occurring in parts of Washington State and Montana through Tuesday.

Perils - Tornadoes, Hail, & High Wind – See chart for details
No areas of organized severe weather are forecast by the Storm Prediction Center.

Peril - Wildland Fire - See chart for details

No fire weather areas are forecast by the Storm Prediction Center.

Perils - Flooding and Precipitation - See chart for details

River flooding is occurring in parts of Washington State and Montana through Tuesday.

Balingit

PLRB Map

PLRB Map is offered as an additional service to our traditional text-based information that you have become familiar with while using the PLRB Catastrophe Services Historical Database. You now have a choice of looking the information up as words on a screen or as a display on a map.

You can easily download the GIS Shapefiles into the stand alone PLRB Desktop Mapper or other GIS program. Once the Catastrophe Services data is downloaded you can analyze and compare your geocoded policyholder database to actual reported storm events, NEXRAD data, earthquake information data, hurricane tracking forecasts and more.

Use of PLRB Map requires that your PC utilize Internet Explorer version 7.0 and higher or Firefox version 2.0 and higher.

For more information contact Hugh Strawn at hstrawn@plrb.org or 630-724-2230 or Peter Balingit at pbalingit@plrb.org or 630-724-2231

Daily Severe Weather Outlook

NWS Storm Prediction Center

Today/Day 1 I Tomorrow/Day 2 I Day 3

Slight Risk

Download GIS Shapefiles
Download GIS KML files

Tornado

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Hail

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.

Wind

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 58 MPH or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of severe wind gusts 75 MPH or greater within 25 miles of a point.

No Organized Severe Weather is Forecast

Download GIS Shapefiles
Download GIS KML files

Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point.

Slight Risk

Download GIS Shapefiles
Download GIS KML files

Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point.

No Organized Severe Weather is Forecast

Download GIS Shapefiles
Download GIS KML files

Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook. A depicted severe weather area indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point.